Betting History: Ravens’ last-second safety changes everything

Whether or not you had money down on Monday night’s NFL football game, you were likely surprised by the game’s compelling conclusion – and if you bet on the Browns +3.5, you were probably horrified.

Bookies and bettors everywhere were shocked when a last-second safety by the Ravens pushed Baltimore’s lead from 45-42 to 47-42 — this meant millions of dollars swung at sportsbooks, many of whom had the Browns line at +3 or +3.5, making the Ravens’ victory unlikely, but not impossible (obviously).

To recap — The Ravens were road favorites ahead of their game against the Browns, but midway through the fourth quarter, the Browns actually led 35-34, as the score remained tight the entire game.

Lamar Jackson, who missed a recent Ravens’ game after testing positive for COVID-19, proved that he’s back in action. On a critical fourth down, Jackson (who was in the locker room receiving fluids) watched his back-up Trace McSorley get hurt and hurried to get back on the field, just in time to connect with Marquise Brown on a go-ahead touchdown, 42-35.

Cleveland quickly answered, as they found the end zone less than a minute later: 42-all with 64 seconds left.

However, Jackson quickly moved the Ravens offense down the field.

In the final seven seconds, kicker Justin Tucker hit a go-ahead 55-yard field goal, handing Baltimore a 45-42 lead. On the ensuing kickoff, with two seconds left in the game, the Browns tried their best to pull of a laterally-infused miracle before Jarvis Landry was pushed out of the end zone for a Ravens safety and two points.

We hope you weren’t sitting next to someone with money on the Browns +3.

This win moved the Ravens to 8-5, and up into the eight seed in the AFC playoff picture.

Browns vs. Ravens Line Movement

The Ravens opened as 1-point favorites, while the line grew to Ravens -3. Bookmakers at BetMGM reported taking significant amounts of money on the Browns when the line moved to Cleveland +3.5, while William Hill took a $126,000 bet on Baltimore -3.

FanDuel reported that covering the spread proved costly, with director John Sheeran saying he’d “…classify it in the seven-figure range,” to ESPN.

The Browns odds shifted dramatically when they took the lead, from +980 to -420 with less than seven minutes to go in the 4th quarter.

Browns vs. Ravens Game Highlights

The Browns vs. Ravens would’ve been a noteworthy game for a number of reasons — like:

  • Lamar Jackson’s cramp (and subsequent bathroom break)
  • Jackson’s 44-yard touchdown pass to Marquise Brown
  • Justin Tucker’s 55-yard field goal (with 2 seconds of game left)
  • Trace McSorley suffering a knee injury
  • The Browns took the lead 35-34 (and bounced back from a 14-point deficit)
  • These two teams combined for 9 rushing touchdowns — this tied a 98 year-old record between NFL teams Rock Island & Evansville, and Racine & Louisville.
  • 5 lead changes, 3 ties
  • 35 points scored in fourth quarter

With that being said:

Latest posts