- The odds of President-elect Joe Biden leaving office via impeachment are +600
- Biden is only given -200 odds to complete his first term in the White House, though
- On Tuesday, current President Donald Trump was impeached for the second time during his first term
Now that US President Donald Trump has suffered the indignity of a second impeachment, should President-elect Joe Biden anticipate a similar fate once he takes up residence in the White House next week?
Politics is a vindictive business. And Republicans have proven that they are a petty bunch.
Still, a series of prop wagers on what the days ahead might hold for Biden in the Oval Office don’t see being convicted during an impeachment trial in his future.
Joe Biden First Presidential Term Props
|Prop||Yes Odds||No Odds|
|Will Joe Biden leave office via impeachment?||+600||-1500|
|Will Joe Biden complete his first term as President?||-200||+150|
Odds as of Jan. 14.
Trump is the first President in the history of the USA to be impeached twice.
Biden Impeachment Would Be Driven By Pettiness
At this juncture, a Biden impeachment attempt would seem like an exercise in futility. The Democrats will control the White House, Senate and House. Any attempt to introduce the Articles of Impeachment against Biden will suffer quick and easy defeat.
The Republicans will be hoping to flip either the House or Senate in the 2022 midterms to maintain any chance of making headway on an impeachment attempt. What’s that you say? Doesn’t Biden first need to commit high crimes or misdemeanors in order for him to suffer impeachment?
Today, in a bipartisan vote, the House voted to impeach and hold President Trump accountable. Now, the process continues to the Senate—and I hope they’ll deal with their Constitutional responsibilities on impeachment while also working on the other urgent business of this nation.
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) January 14, 2021
If you think that’s the case, you’ve haven’t been paying attention to the petulance of some Republicans. There’s a solid constituency within the party that’s been detached from reality for years.
These are the people refusing to wear a mask during a global pandemic. Who whine about big brother forcing them to go through a metal detector to enter the Capitol Building, because apparently, they’ve never had to board a plane, attend a sporting event, or visit a school.
NEW — Rep. @mtgreenee (R-GA) vows to introduce “Articles of Impeachment against Joe Biden for abuse of power” on January 21.
— Kyle Morris (@RealKyleMorris) January 14, 2021
Facts won’t get in the way of a Biden impeachment attempt by the Republicans. In fact, Republican Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a QAnon cultist, is already announcing that she intends to file Articles of Impeachment for abuse of power against Biden on Jan. 21st.
You know, that power Biden doesn’t even get until his Jan. 20th inauguration.
Pick: Joe Biden won’t leave office via impeachment (-1500)
Biden Will Finish The Journey
At the age of 78, thoughts of Biden running for a second term appear unlikely. However, he’ll be finishing out his first term.
Republicans who continue hitching their wagons to the Trump train as it careens off a cliff simply aren’t reading the room. The majority of Americans have endured their fill of drama and chaos. They’re tired of watching their government sit idly by as COVID-19 kills hundreds of thousands across the nation.
The insurrection inside the Capitol Building on Jan. 6th horrified people. It was a tipping point for some of the staunchest Trump supporters.
I’m going to disagree with Joe Biden on plenty of policy, but it’s going to be so nice to have a President who goes to work every day trying to advance the country’s interests, and not his own.
— Joe Walsh (@WalshFreedom) January 14, 2021
Get beyond his cult followers and Trump is toxic. He’s destroying the Republican party from within. Members of the party’s leadership are finally ready to rid themselves of the connection.
The American people seek the restoration of calm and order. They want the adults back in the White House.
Pick: Biden to complete first term (-200)