One Bet, $100: Alabama Won’t Admit LSU is Revenge Game, but Team will Make Tigers Pay for Last Year

If gamblers don’t think Nick Saban circled the Alabama-LSU game on his calendar, they don’t know the Crimson Tide head coach very well. Losing at home to the Tigers last year was bad enough, but getting taunted by LSU head coach Ed Orgeron and his players let that defeat simmer for a year.

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Alabama LSU

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LSU rubbed it in the faces of Alabama last year when they won 46-41, and the Crimson Tide players could be out for revenge on Saturday. (Image: Getty)

Now the rematch is Saturday in Baton Rouge, and Saban has been licking his chops at the chance to face the struggling defending champion. That is why with this week’s One Bet, $100, I am taking Alabama and giving away 28 points.

My last college football bet was a disaster. I took Tennessee over Kentucky and they lost by 27 points. I do feel much better about taking Alabama this week.

One Bet, $100

This Week Last Bet Season Total
Alabama -28 over LSU Lost: Tennessee 2-3: Down $120

I must admit I waited a bit on Alabama-LSU and might pay for my procrastination. The line opened Sunday at 25 points, and the sharps jumped all over it, driving the line up by early in the week. It has gotten as high as 29.5 at some sportsbooks.

Still I believe there are several factors that should make this a blowout. The overriding one being Saban’s motivation to stick it to LSU.

Alabama Should Overpower Young LSU Squad

Saban has been home recovering from COVID-19, but expects to be on the sidelines on Saturday. I get the feeling he could have Ebola and he wouldn’t be missing this game.

The Alabama head coach has tried to downplay the revenge issue with LSU, telling reporters he attempts to keep emotion out of his game plan.

“To be honest with you I never try to use that as a motivating factor,” Saban said. “Every season is different. Every team is different.”

Saban did quickly add, however, that it might be hard to forget last year’s 46-41 defeat to the Tigers.

“Do I think it is a motivating factor with individuals and players?” Saban said. “I absolutely think it is. I think that awareness of what happened in last year’s game and all that is always something that players remember, think about how they felt after the game last year or whatever.”

It seems hard to believe that Saban hasn’t tacked up game stories from last year on the team’s bulletin board, and used highlights – or lowlights in this case – of LSU’s upset.

“I think nobody likes to get disrespected, and I think when you lose a game you feel that way to some degree,” Saban said. “I think it’s human nature to try to make it right.”

Alabama Won’t Get Derailed of CFP Goal

The Crimson Tide are the No. 1 team in the country in the AP Top 25 poll, and are 8-0 on the season. Last week, without Saban, they steamrolled Auburn, 42-13 in the Iron Bowl. I believe LSU is inferior to Auburn and won’t even put up that much of a fight.

The Tigers, who are 3-4, lost 14 starters from last year’s national championship team. They are young, and took a blow this week when star wide receiver LSU leading receiver Terrace Marshall is opting out for the rest of the season. He had 48 catches for 731 yards and 10 touchdowns this year for a team that ranked 18th in total passing, but if you take away Marshall’s yards they drop all the way to 194.

LSU’s defense is lackluster this year. The Tigers are 96th in total defense and will have to stop running and passing attack that ranks fifth in total offense.

Even without revenge as a motivating factor the Crimson Tide should dominate. Any other team they might call the dogs off in the second half, but I believe Saban will keep the starters out there to humiliate LSU for what they did last year.

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