Pick of the Day – 1/14/21 (Thursday)

PotD Record: 28-14

Deep Learning Model Record: 6-0

Previous:
2020-11-27: NCAAM Abilene Christian ✅
2020-11-28: NCAAM Nebraska -9 ✅
2020-11-29: NFL Raiders -3 ❌ (not even close)
2020-11-30: NCAAM Mercer +2.5 ✅
2020-12-01: NCAAM Nebraska -12 ❌ (Couldn’t hold their big lead)
2020-12-02: NCAAM Gonzaga -8 ❌ (Sadly, my closest loss)
2020-12-03: NCAAM Drake -9.5 ✅
2020-12-04: NCAAM Bradley -1❌ (I am still underestimating SDSU)
2020-12-05: NCAAM Houston -9.5 ✅
2020-12-06: NCAAM Missouri -4.5 ✅
2020-12-08: NCAAM Iowa -4 ✅
2020-12-09: NCAAM Nebraska -2 ❌ (This was heart breaking. I was so confident and then Nebraska just didn’t show up)
2020-12-11: NCAAM Iowa -14 ✅ (Easiest and largest pick ever. I was right that Iowa would almost win by 30)
2020-12-12: NCAAM Ok St -3.5 ❌(Cunningham took 2 shots in the second half. This should have been a 10 point win. Very odd second half)
2020-12-13: NFL Packers -4 1h ❌(Tough loss. The Lions had some long drives that chewed some clock and the last drive of the first half went nowhere. Packers didn’t cover so I would have lost that one too.)
2020-12-14: NCAAM Morehead State +6 ✅
2020-12-15: NCAAM Clemson +2 ❌ (They had a 7 minute streak of doing nothing and they had a 3 at the buzzer for the backdoor cover. Didn’t happen)
2020-12-16: NCAAM Mercer +5 ❌(Second missed backdoor cover at the buzzer. Wished Mercer was a little more consistent in the second half too)
2020-12-17: NCAAM Southern Illinois -7.5 ✅
2020-12-18: NCAAM Drake -6 ✅
2020-12-19: NCAAM Baylor -17 ✅
2020-12-20: NCAAM UConn +4 ✅
2020-12-21: stupid me forgot to post my winner
2020-12-22: NCAAM Iowa -6.5 ✅
2020-12-23: NCAAM Xavier +6.5 ✅
2020-12-25: NCAAM Iowa -6.5 ❌
2020-12-26: NCAAM Northwestern +3 ✅
2020-12-27: NCAAM Drake -4 ✅
2020-12-28: NCAAM Stony Brook ✅
2020-12-29: NCAAM: Rutgers -3 ✅
2020-12-31: NCAAM: Arizona -8 ✅
2021-01-01: NCAAM: Cleveland State -3.5 ❌
2021-01-02: NCAAM: Baylor -15 ❌
2021-01-03: NCAAM: Northwestern +8.5 ❌
2021-01-05: NCAAM: Texas -13 ❌
2021-01-06: NCAAM: Michigan -6.5 ✅
2021-01-07: NCAAM: Iowa -5.5 ✅
~~~~~Deep Learning Model~~~~~
2021-01-08: NCAAM: Cleveland State -2 ✅
2021-01-09: NCAAM: Texas +2 ✅
2021-01-10: NCAAM: Iowa -9.5 ✅
2021-01-11: NCAAM: UConn -5 ✅
2021-01-12: NCAAM: Michigan -3.5 ✅
2021-01-13: NCAAM: Ohio State -8 ✅ (This game was a roller coaster)

Pick:
Jacksonville State -6.5 730pm CT. This pick is a little bit on the strength of Jacksonville State at home (Tenn Tech by 24 and UT Martin by 10) but also how weak Tennessee State is so far this year. Their only win was beating UT Martin at home.

Tennessee State Road Offense: 69.7 pts/gm
Tennessee State Road Defense: 77 pts/gm
Jacksonville State Home Offense: 85.75 pts/gm
Jacksonville State Home Defense: 57.75 pts/gm

Note: I am going to start using my deep learning model to make picks. The gist is that I use offense and defensive numbers fed into a neural network trained over the last 10 years or so. We will see how it goes. Note: I don’t trust the actual number that is output. I just use that as a general reference.

Tips:
Paypal: paypal.me/evanhennis

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