UFC 259 Betting Prediction: Aleksander Rakic vs. Thiago Santos

UFC 259 has an exciting matchup to kick off the main card. This will present a great betting opportunity as well. For this matchup, you should check out the light heavyweight battle between Thiago Santos and Aleksandar Rakic.

Date: SAT, MAR 6

Time: 9:00 PM CST

Watch On: ESPN+

Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas United States

The Fighters

Thiago Santos (21-8-0)

Santos is currently the second-best fighter out of the light heavyweight division. He is also on a two-fight skid, but it has been against two excellent fighters such as Glover Teixeira and Jon Jones.

His fighting resume shows that he has 15 wins by knockout, one by submission, and five by decision. He also has eight first-round finishes that have been by knockouts.

“Marreta” has a striking accuracy of 48 percent and a grappling accuracy of 40 percent. He lands 4.36 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.32. This is a great example of a ratio between these two averages, and it could help him in this fight.

Santos has a takedown defense at 64 percent and a significant strike defense at 55 percent. He also averages 0.77 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.

Aleksandar Rakic (13-2-0)

Rakic is currently ranked as the fourth-best fighter in the light heavyweight division. He is coming off of a unanimous decision victory against Anthony Smith back in August of 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has nine wins by knockout, one by submission, and three by decision. He also has seven of those knockouts and the one submission that has resulted in first-round finishes.

“Rocket” has a striking accuracy at 54 percent and a grappling accuracy at 28 percent. He lands 4.66 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.99. This is another great example of a ratio for those two averages, so this should definitely come into play.

Rakic has a takedown defense at 89 percent and a significant strike defense at 53 percent. He also averages 0.93 takedowns and 0.20 submissions every 15 minutes.

UFC 259: Santos vs. Rakic Betting Odds & Lines

The market is showing the lesser ranked fighter, Rakic has a slight edge. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently placed at:

Santos: +135

Rakic: -170

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both fighters are in the top five of this respected division and are looking forward to a title shot. They each have their own strengths and similarities.

Rakic is definitely a force to be reckoned with and has been dominant in his short time since with the UFC. Santos, on the other hand, has been doing this a while and has been great at knocking opponents out.

Overall, this should be an excellent striking match since they both have top-notch significant strike ratios. Rakic has the better ratio, but Santos provides more experience and slight reach advantage.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Santos wins via TKO, at +135

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