UFC Fight Island Betting Prediction: Brian Ortega vs. Chan Sung Jung

Coming up on the next UFC event, we will get to finally see a showdown that fans have been asking for for a long time. The main event is a featherweight battle between Brian Ortega and Chan Sung Jung. The winner of this fight could be setting themselves up for a potential title shot in the near future.

Date: Saturday, October 17, 6:00 PM
Venue: Flash Forum
Watch on: ESPN+

Brian Ortega (14-1-0)

Ortega is currently ranked as the second best featherweight fighter in the division. His fighting resume shows that he has 3 wins by knockout, 7 by submission, and 4 by decision.

“T-City” has a striking accuracy at 33 percent and a grappling accuracy at 16 percent. He lands 4.07 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 7.36. This ratio is not a great one to have, especially if he keeps taking high volumes of strikes on.

Ortega has a takedown defense at 56 percent and a significant strike defense at 50 percent. He also averages 0.51 takedowns and 1.40 submissions every 15 minutes.

Chan Sung Jung (16-5-0)

Jung is currently ranked the fourth best fighter in the featherweight division. His fighting resume shows that he has 6 wins by knockout, 8 by submission, and 2 by decision.

“The Korean Zombie” has a striking accuracy at 41 percent and a grappling accuracy at 41 percent. He lands 4.58 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.73. This is a solid ratio, as he shows that he can defend but also put up a moderate amount of strikes.

Jung has a takedown defense at 77 percent and a significant strike defense at 60 percent. He also averages 0.78 takedowns and 0.60 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has this fight coming in close. BetDSI has the odds currently set at:

Brian Ortega: +153

Chan Sung Jung: -185

*odds are subject to changes

Potential Winning Pick

Both of these fighters have had tremendous success so far in their careers. Can their odds be justified here?

Ortega is coming off a rough first loss against Max Holloway. In that fight, Holloway out struck Ortega 290-110, which ultimately led to a knockout. Jung is a great striker, so this is a little concerning on Ortega’s end.

Overall, I like Jung’s chances at a TKO victory of some form here. He is aggressive in his approach to land these strikes, and he can defend well against Ortega’s submission attempts.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Jung wins via TKO

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