The Wyoming Cowboys (2-2 overall, 2-2 MWC) are saddled up for a trek to Albuquerque, N.M., to take on the New Mexico Lobos (0-5, 0-5) Saturday night at 10:30 p.m. ET in a Mountain West tussle at Dreamstyle Stadium. Below, we analyze the Wyoming-New Mexico college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Wyoming at New Mexico: Betting odds, spread and lines
Wyoming at New Mexico: Three things to know
Wyoming is coming off a 45-14 win at UNLV last Friday. The Cowboys compiled 399 rushing yards, with the 45 points being UW’s most in a single game since Sept. 29, 2019 (53). Led by RB Trey Smith‘s 164 yards, five Wyoming players ran for 40-plus yards in the win. Smith was spelling RB Xazavian Valladay who missed the game with a leg injury and is questionable for this Saturday.
New Mexico is playing its first home game of the season. The Lobos have struggled in Albuquerque over recent seasons. Since Oct. 20, 2017, UNM is 3-13 straight up and against the spread at home. The Lobos have, however, been decent when hosting Wyoming. Since 2010, New Mexico is 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS against the Cowboys.
Wyoming has been a double-digit road favorite just six times since 1998. One of those times was last week when the Cowboys — a 16.5-point favorite — defeated UNLV. The Cowboys went 10-for-16 on combined third- and fourth-down conversions and benefitted from a plus-2 in turnover margin. UW lost its other five games when favored by 10 or more points.
Wyoming at New Mexico: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Wyoming 38, New Mexico 24
Money line (ML)
The analytics underpinning the offensive and defensive yardage numbers for New Mexico peg the Lobos as being slightly undervalued by bettors. Wyoming’s numbers swing slightly the other way. THAT ALL POINTS TO SOME VALUE ON NEW MEXICO +545.
Against the spread (ATS)
The above play would need some turnover luck. A more accessible win can be had on the ATS wager. A Lobos team in a night game at home and a strong running Wyoming squad spells a 10-14-point win for the Cowboys in a lot of versions of playing this one forward. BACK THE LOBOS +17.5 (-110).
The Over is 4-0 in the Cowboys’ last four road games, and there are some underlying factors pointing to the Over having some value Saturday night. The Wyoming offense is just 6-for-13 in turning red-zone visits into touchdowns; that percentage ranks 117th in FBS. The New Mexico defense has numbers swinging the other way and may be ripe for coughing up more sixes over the final 20.
Then there is the UW defense: The Cowboys rank 32nd in points allowed and 42nd in yards allowed. They have played only one foe — Nevada — which ranks better than 90th in points scored or yards gained.
TAKE THE OVER 52.5 (-110).
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